March 5, 2015
Time: 8.40 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.40 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed negative.
- Most Asian markets are down.
- China lowered its economic growth to 7% making India as fastest growing big economy in the world.
- This is sentimentally positive for medium to long term.
- SGX Nifty is almost flat with positive bias.
- Every one amazed by yesterday's market move. There was no selling by FIIs in F&O market. There was huge buying in cash market. There was no negative clue. Even Services PMI came at 7 month high. Still Bank Nifty fell 1000 points and Nifty fell 300 points from their intraday highs.
- But clearly this did not create panic. This is evident from the fact that despite such a huge fall, VIX has come down, Call option open interest has not increased, Put option open interest has not decreased.
- So option sellers attribute the sell off as purely profit booking and the fall will be arrested at this level and markets may go for consolidation from here.
- Consolidation phase is good for option sellers. For example, if anyone has sold 8700 put and 9300 call (300 points on both sides), one would have made a profit of Rs 10 per share, Rs 2500 per lot despite such a big fall. This profit will only increase when markets consolidate between 8800 and 9200.
- SBI is coming out with 15000 crore will keep SBI share price under pressure.
- So along with it, entire PSU Banks will be under pressure.
- Spectrum auction fetching good amount of money, likely to be more than 1 lakh crore, is good for macro economy.
- So in my opinion, markets may consolidate for few more weeks and then again will break out.
- The target of 9200 remains the same in next 6 to 8 weeks.
- Today Nifty future may trade between 8920 and 9020.
Comments
Post a Comment