November 6, 2015
Time: 7.30 pm
Post Market Report:
Time: 7.30 pm
Post Market Report:
- Another day of disappointing trade.
- Markets were highly volatile as expected and closed almost flat.
- Just before markets open, BOB results came and BOB fell about 8% but closed about 5% higher taking a total swing of about 13%.
- Then Dr Reddy fell nearly 15% after US FDA warning news.
- As I have mentioned earlier, due to uncertainty in Bihar exit poll results, India VIX did not fall, it has actually gone up marginally.
- So the premiums did not come down, the combined premiums remain the same for both Nifty and Bank Nifty.
- US jobs data came much better than expected, US economy added 2.71 Lakh jobs in October against the expectation of 1.8 Lakh jobs.
- Unemployment rate also fell to 5% from 5.1%.
- This is actually a bad news for India as the rate hike is almost imminent in December.
- SGX Nifty has not reacted violently due to Bihar election results Sunday.
- So Monday will be big day.
- FIIs have bought for Rs 219.17 crores and DIIs have bought for Rs 39.45 crores.
- Highest open interest among Puts is at 7800.
- Highest open interest among Calls is shifted to 8200 from 8300 yesterday.
- Markets will react to US jobs data and Bihar Election results on Monday and then markets are likely to consolidate for the next few days.
Comments
I had already said, new low is awaiting in November. Some serious threat and this bear market is going to last for several months..
ReplyDeleteWe are in 4th quarter and new low is due. Year-end close could be somewhere between 7840-7940
New low means what? September low was around 7500. The new low means below 7500 once again?
ReplyDeleteSir,
ReplyDeleteYes. chances of 16 days of down move before any recovery.
7922 key support, I'm expecting 7498-7441 on or before 23rd
There is a case for Nifty making lows every 54-55 days during a down-trend and vice versa for the up-trend.
Nifty BEAR market was confirmed when it did not make new highs after 108-109 days.
Further, 8200-8500 calls has seen good addition in OI, FII's are buying NOV puts
BULL'ISH Case:
If 7922 is held with the help of PSU Banks & sector rotation then expiry can be around 8169 or 8336
So 7500 is good time to enter?
ReplyDeleteFor long term. Or even it go down?
ReplyDeleteWhen you see the fall of Drreddy, Sunph, its going to continue. Hdfcbank & Hdfc due for fall.
ReplyDeleteMarch 2015 till Sept 2016 we will not go up ... Any significant pull back can be shorted (IF you are a trader).
From investment perspective, wait for sometime, for instance, if you want to buy Tatasteel 300 shares invest 30% around 137 levels (remaining in 2017 April-June).
Disclaimer: Take your own risk.
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