June 15, 2016
Time: 8.50 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.50 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets and European markets are closed down once again.
- But many Asian markets are up.
- This may be due to value buying at lower levels.
- The actual problem is in Europe and Asian markets are falling as collateral damage.
- So there will be some value buying at lower levels.
- But the clarity will emerge only after June 23, when Brexit issue will be clear.
- Nifty closed at 8070 on the expiry day on May 26, 2016.
- It is somewhere there after 13 trading sessions.
- But we are far better compared to other markets.
- Many markets have fallen by 10% during this time.
- Even yesterday Nifty closed almost flat despite huge selling by FIIs in F&O, they have sold nearly 1900 crores in Index Futures and 175 crores in Stock futures.
- Yesterday for the first time in the last few weeks, both FIIs and DIIs were net sellers in Cash market, though not in big quantities.
- RBI relaxed the rules regarding bad loans and that helped PSU Banks and high debt companies yesterday.
- JP Associates up by 15% and PNB was up buy 8%.
- GST related stocks all fell due to profit booking.
- Bank Nifty out performed Nifty yesterday and that is likely to continue today.
- Auro Pharma will be in focus due to FDI approval.
- Due to positive Asian cues, Nifty may open higher.
- But heavy selling by FIIs in F&O may limit upside.
- It is interesting to note that FIIs have sold heavily in index futures but have bought Call options.
- SGX Nifty is trading around 8145 about 25 points higher than yesterday's close here.
- Even US markets may turn around tonight after Fed policy announcement.
- But any significant rise will be used to short the market until Brexit issue is over.
- Generally markets will be volatile for next few days.
- Nifty future is likely to take support at 8080.
- Resistance will be around 8180.
- Last expiry Nifty was trading between 7700 and 8000, only on the day of expiry, Nifty broke out and closed at 8070.
- The same way, this expiry may trade between 8000 and 8300 and any break out or break down will happen only after Brexit issue is clear.
- But markets may be highly volatile within this range.
- Also it is important to see where markets close just before Brexit, whether it is closer to 8000 or closer to 8300.
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