June 23, 2016
Time: 8.20 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.20 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed lower yesterday night.
- But a recent opinion poll shows that "Remain" in Brexit is leading by 8 points.
- After this news, Asian markets turned positive.
- US futures are also up after this news.
- Europe is also likely to open positive in the afternoon.
- SGX Nifty is also trading slightly positive.
- All the good news from India are ignored right now.
- Once this Brexit issue is over, if "Remain" people win, then Nifty will move higher towards 9100 in the next few months.
- I will not be surprised if Nifty expire around 8500 by the end of this expiry.
- The volatility will be higher in today's trade and tomorrow's trade here in India.
- The last one hour of trade is very important today.
- I am planning to buy Puts if Nifty future moves above 8250 and plan to buy some Calls if Nifty future moves below 8180.
- Nifty future found resistance at 8253 for the last two days, so that is an important level to watch.
- If that level is taken, then Nifty future will move towards 8300.
- I will not be surprised if Nifty future closes above 8300 today.
- The "Greed and Fear" will dominate the markets today.
- Smart people have already hedged by buying Puts when VIX was low and hence panic selling is ruled out.
- India VIX is likely to move higher towards the end of the day.
- Yesterday CBOE Vix was up by 15% but our India VIX was up just by 5%.
- Tomorrow, on one side option premiums will collapse like anything.
- Tata Motors is likely to move higher today.
- Banking stocks will be in focus due to weekly expiry of Bank Nifty.
- Even yesterday Bank Nifty future traded at a significant discount to Spot compared to premium in the previous day.
- So be ready for a roller coaster ride today and tomorrow morning.
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