September 15, 2017
Time: 8.20 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.20 am
Pre Market Report:
- Once again North Korea launched a missile over Japan.
- But this time there are some differences.
- First, it is not only North Korea, even South Korea launced a missile, but not over Japan.
- Last time when the missile was launched, markets were is a shock, but this everyone expected North Korea to do this and therefore, it is not a surprise.
- In fact last time China markets were in Green (remember it is a North Korea friendly country), now it is in Red.
- Missile flew ove Japan, but Japan market is up today.
- All markets reacted too negatively are not reacting much now and all markets that reacted positively or not much negatively (China, Hong Kong) are reacting negtaively now.
- Coming to our markets, SGX Nifty is trading about 60 points lower.
- But this is not purely due to missile launch.
- FIIs keep selling, yesterday FIIs have sold for about Rs 1300 crores.
- Just after seeing that data, SGX Nifty fell 40 points yesterday evening.
- Anyway we are very close to all time high and some profit booking is expected.
- Markets need to consolidate for some more time and then gather momentum.
- Once 10150 is crossed, 10300 will come in two to three days.
- Europen and American futures are not showing any big negative reaction to North Korea news.
- So our problem is not actually North Korea, our problem is FII selling.
- For the last one and half month, they keep selling every day.
- ICICI Lombard IPO opens today. We need to see the subscription figures. That will affect ICICI Bank.
- I do not see any panic, except knee jerk reaction.
- But knee jerk reaction will be there throughout the day as markets will be closed for next two days.
- Remain optimistic but at the same time be cautious.
- I plan to sell December 9000PE, if it rises above Rs 40 as I squared off at Rs 40 day before yesterday.
- Usually I squae off long term options on Wendesday (if proofitable) then deploy the funds in weekly options, (this time I sold 24500PE and 25100CE and gained more than Rs 5 in both sides) and then keep the cash.
- In case if long term options price increase, then again I redeploy.
- SGX panic low was 9990. But panic subsided now. Again the liquidity would have been low at SGX, that could the reason for the panic low below 10000.
- Here Nifty future should take support at 10020. Resistance will be at 10120.
- Earlier, on some occassions, I have seen markets rising significantly when there was a bad news.
- I feel that all time high will be taken out when nobody expects it.
- But the chances for that is very very low today.
- Let us see what happens today.
- Bank Nifty has been out performing Nifty is the last two days.
- We need to see how Bank Nifty performs today.
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