February 14, 2019
Time: 8.00 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.00 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed higher as trade optimism boosted by Trumps statements.
- But Asian markets are mixed.
- SGX Nifty is trading slightly lower.
- Yesterday one of the worst volatile day for our markets.
- Turnover crossed Rs 9 Lakh crore.
- Bank Nifty fell 150 points, then shot up 150 points and again fell 200 points, all in the last one to one and half hours.
- Nifty also the same, fell 50 points, then shot up 50 points, only to fall 80 points.
- Now Nifty has broken both 50 and 200DMA.
- Next support is only at 10700 where 100DMA is there.
- But the speed with which Nifty is falling is very scary.
- In 9 trading sessions, Nifty shot up 300 points and then fell 350 points.
- Nifty has fallen continuously for 5 days.
- Will it fall today also? That is a million dollar question.
- There may be some technical bounce and that may come with huge volatility.
- Usually markets will either top out or bottom out with huge volatility.
- Can we take yesterday's huge volatility as the bottoming out process?
- We can be sure only if Nifty crosses 10850.
- Heavy weights came under selling pressure yesterday afternoon.
- Markets may open slightly lower and consolidate with some slight negative bias and the action will come in the afternoon.
- Yesterday FIIs have sold for Rs 676 crores but DIIs have bought for Rs 713 crores.
- Axis Bank issue subscribed more than 2 times both in Institutional and retail category is a positive news.
- The stock also did not fall to 690, the floor price.
- Yesterday it was the turn of CG Power to fall more than 10%. It fell 30% due to bad set of results.
- Every day one or the other stocks falling more than 10%.
- This is clearly the capitulation period.
- Do not know whether we started factoring in Election uncertainty.
- Usually when a trend is set, only after expiry, we can expect trend reversal.
- So today's expiry is likely to be sluggish only.
- FIIs accelerated selling in Cash market is a big concern now.
- All long bets will be out if Nifty breaks 10700.
- But Bank Nifty may take support at 26500 and Nifty may take support at 10700.
- Today Nifty future may trade between 10720 and 10850.
Comments
Thanks for update
ReplyDeleteThanks for the update sir.nice info . Many uncertainities this months in local and global markets. I guess thats the reason for volatile markets . But, strange thing is vix is not that bad as of now
ReplyDeleteThank you sir for your detailed analysis
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