March 26, 2019
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed flat after a volatile session.
- Asian markets are mostly trading in Green.
- But there is no reaction in SGX Nifty.
- SGX Nifty is trading slightly lower.
- Yesterday both FIIs and DIIs did not buy or sell much.
- FIIs bought for Rs 150 crore and DIIs sold for Rs 12 crores.
- US yield curve inversion news roiled the markets all over the world.
- Since our markets shot up 900 points in last few weeks, we seing huge selling pressure.
- Nifty 11400CE added huge open interest making upside move limited.
- Max pain has come down to 11300.
- Bank Nifty added huge open interest from 29300CE onwards.
- But who knows, these huge option sellers will propel the market higher if there is any short covering.
- After falling severly for 2 days, we may consolidate.
- Nifty expiry is likely to be between 11300 and 11500.
- There was huge selling in Index heavy weights like Reliance, ITC, HDFC, Kotak Bank, etc.
- Surprisingly REC was up by 11% in this kind of market.
- There are many other stocks also did reasonably well.
- HDFC Bank did not fall, otherwise Bank Nifty would have fallen even more.
- I used the dip to cover my long term options, I sold June 12000CE at Rs 280 few days before, closed at Rs 225.
- But I am in trouble with Bank Nifty 29200PE and 29000PE which I sold on Friday.
- To hedge, I sold 29600CE, 29700CE and 29800CE yesterday.
- Hopefully I get out without any loss if markets stabilises.
- I will be happy if Bank Nifty expires between 29400 and 29500 and Nifty between 11400 and 11450.
- If the conditions are favourable, I might exit positions today or tomorrow also.
- If there is a bounce in Reliance and Kotak Bank, then I will be able to exit.
- Rupee is strong, Crude is soft, FIIs are not selling, still they are buying. These are positives for our markets.
- April Futures are trading at a huge premium of over 60 points shows the underlying bullishness.
- On any bounce one can sell Nifty 11500CE.
- Calendar spreads may not work due to huge premium in April series.
- If you think there will be some short covering rally then do -1X11500PE in March and +1X11400PE in April.
- Nifty future may trade between 11320 and 11420.
Comments
Thanks sir
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ReplyDeleteSir I see your nifty view getting wrong everyday
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