May 20, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- Exit poll results were much better than expectation.
- Opinion polls were divided and none gave clear majority to BJP.
- Exit polls gave clear majority to BJP.
- Nifty future was down by 700 points in last two weeks.
- Reliance has corrected more than 15%.
- This exit poll gives a perfect ground for short covering rally.
- SGX Nifty is trading about 250 points higher.
- India VIX is likely to crash at least by 10%.
- Put option premiums are likely to crash.
- Adani group stocks, Reliance, Yes Bank all likely to shoot up as there is so much of short positions in those counters.
- Exit poll results is big relief to long term investors.
- Had there been a hung parliament, markets would have crashed.
- Once again this is just Exit polls.
- In the past Exit polls have gone wrong many times.
- So it is better to be cautious until May 23 evening.
- If VIX crashes ahead of actual results, it will be easy to do the hedging for the portfolios.
- Do not try to go long in the first 15 minutes, markets may come under selling pressure later.
- Mid caps and small caps have been doing badly recently.
- The rally may be more in that space.
- Forgot about Global cues, FII selling, just enjoy the short covering rally.
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