May 29, 2019
Time: 8.25 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.25 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed lower.
- Yield Curve Inversion makes bears happy.
- This is happening for third time in last one year.
- Asian markets are mostly lower following US.
- But SGX Nifty is trading flat with positive bias.
- Premium for June futures is almost 50 points which is a bullish sign.
- Many large caps like Bajaj Finance, SBI, ICICI Bank have given more than 10% return in May series.
- I expect a big bull run, at least 10% rise in Index by October 2019.
- We started with favorable election outcome in May, in June and July, progress of monsoon, if it is good, will aid the rally.
- July and August, Q1 results will help the rally and September and October, production increase ahead of major festival will help.
- If if everything goes well, we can expect Nifty to touch 13500 by October.
- This is long term view.
- I am planning to do December 2019 short straddle and sell 13500CE.
- This is to hedge my core portfolio. In case market goes sideways in long term, I will make money in these two strategies.
- Otherwise, I know how to manage these positions.
- Yesterday I said Nifty is likely to expire between 11700 and 12100.
- But the trade was so volatile yesterday, particularly, last 40 minutes.
- It was looking like expiry day.
- Be ready for a volatile session today as well as tomorrow.
- Nifty future may trade between 11850 and 12000
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