May 31, 2019
Time: 8.35 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.35 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed slightly higher.
- But after markets, Trump announced tariff against Mexico.
- Now Dow futures fell suddenly after this news.
- China PMI data came below 50 which is a sign of contraction in Economy.
- But China markets are slightly higher as this bad news brings the expectation of further stimulus.
- Brent Crude trading around $65. This was trading around $75 few days before.
- So global cues are not great.
- But in India, new Govt honeymoon starts.
- That is supporting the market.
- Ministers portfolio will be announced anytime soon.
- RBI policy is on next Thursday.
- These two are key events for this week.
- I am expecting Nifty to trade between 11500 and 12400 in June series.
- If monsoon progresses well, we may trade with positive bias.
- Once May 23 high is crossed, Nifty may move 100 to 150 points very quickly.
- I am holding Nifty 12000 short straddle, done at around Rs 400.
- I will be safe as long as Nifty is trading between 11600 and 12400.
- If there is any up move in Bank Nifty, I am planning Bank Nifty 32000 short straddle.
- That is because I am bullish in Bank Nifty.
- Even at the beginning of May series, I conducted a poll, "Will Bank Nifty out perform Nifty in May?"
- In May series, Nifty was up less than 2% but Bank Nifty was up by more than 5%.
- Shorting the market is not a good idea.
- Markets may trend in June and July.
- I am expecting 40 to 50% rally in the next two years. That is long term view.
- Nifty future may trae between 11920 and 12040.
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