June 11, 2019
Time: 8.10 am
June 11, 2019:
Time: 8.10 am
June 11, 2019:
- Yesterday Bank Nifty was very high volatile.
- Bank Nifty was up 300 points in the morning, then fell 500 points and then again shot up 200 points.
- After making 1000 point move, Bank Nifty closed almost flat.
- Bank Nifty future premium has come to discount to spot.
- Global markets are doing extremely well in the last one week.
- But we have been under performing Global markets.
- Nifty is struggling around 12000.
- PSU Banks fell, Bank of Baroda corrected 15% from May 23 high.
- Reliance has been under performing.
- Yesterday FMCG and IT stocks supported the markets.
- ADAG Group stocks fell, today it looks like India Bull Housing Finance.
- Markets are punishing the companies even if there is any small doubt.
- Yesterday both FIIs and DIIs have bought in Cash market, though for little amount.
- Crude prices are down, now trading around US$62.
- SGX Nifty is higher by about 20 points.
- Markets are highly volatile but within a small range 11800-12100.
- So one can consider longs above 12100 and short below 11800.
- Until then straddle and strangles will give better returns.
- I sold 11500PE heavily, in the last few days it has fallen from Rs 50 to around Rs 28.
- On the higher side, I sold 12200CE and 12300CE.
- Nifty 12000 straddle sold at Rs 400, now trading around Rs 250. I am planning to close the positions if it falls below Rs 200 and shift to July or August straddle.
- Sometimes markets breakout when nobody is expecting.
- There is huge short is required for the market to move sharply higher.
- Now that shorts are getting added in this volatility.
- We may need a trigger for that break out, it may come from IIP and inflation data tomorrow evening.
- Nifty future may trade between 11880 and 12020.
- One can consider selling 11500PE if Nifty future falls below 11900 and can sell 12300CE if it trades above 12000.
- Bank Nifty has been struggling, still I sold 30000PE as I feel Bank Nifty will take good support around that level.
- In weekly Bank Nifty options, I have sold 30000PE, 30500PE, 31500CE.
- Yesterday also did 11900 short straddle.
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