June 21, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed higher.
- But Asian markets are in profit booking mode.
- Yet this week is one of the best week for most markets.
- Nifty future had been trading between 11800 and 12100 for first two weeks of June.
- Then broke 11800 and then huge volatility came.
- But yesterday short covering took Nifty future comfortably above 11800.
- So once again we may go to the trading range 11800 to 12100.
- That may go on until budget on July 5.
- Then budget outcome may decide the course of the market.
- Iran shot down one US drone and crude prices are up.
- That is a negative news for India.
- In addition, despite such a huge rally yesterday, FIIs have sold for more than 400 crores.
- After 14 days of negative market breadth, yesterday market breadth was positive. (Advance is more than Declines).
- All beaten down stocks shot up, Jet shot up by 120%.
- Maruti shot up 300 points from intraday low, many other auto stocks also shot up.
- Yesterday's rally was just a short covering rally, the rally may not continue.
- SGX Nifty shot up by 70 points yesterday night but now it is trading almost flat.
- My Nifty July 12000 straddles are doing well.
- Reliance has been a laggard in this move.
- Reliance is struggling to cross 1300.
- I hold lot of shares in Reliance.
- Bought 1300PE and sold 2X1240PE in July. If it falls below 1240, I am prepared to buy more.
- If it moves higher, then there is nothing to lose.
- If it settles between 1300 and 1240, then there will be some profit in this trade which will compensate the portfolio loss.
- For portfolio, sold Call options 1460, 1440, 1400, 1380, 1360. Now closed all of them and sold 1320CE, 1340CE.
- Remember I suggested selling 11500PE in July, that trade is doing well.
- One good news is that SEBI is looking into margin system in India.
- If they can reduce the margins to international standard of maximum risk based margin, that will be the best thing that can happen to people like us.
- I am expecting some consolidation between 11800 and 12000 for the next few days.
- Now 11700PE has the highest OI among Puts and 12000CE has the highest OI among Calls.
- Today expect consolidation between 11800 and 11900.
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