July 25, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- Yesterday markets opened with a positive note.
- Within few minutes huge selling pressure came and Nifty fell more than 100 points intraday and Bank Nifty fell more than 300 points.
- But markets were highly volatile.
- PSU Banks fell.
- Bajaj Twins fell ahead of reslts.
- Bajaj Finance has fallen from 3650 to 3160, yesterday fell about 4%, today it will declare results during the market hours.
- If results are good, there may be some short covering as it closed at the lowest point of the series yesterday.
- HDFC Bank stabilised but other banks like ICICI Bank, AXIS Bank, IndusInd Bank fell.
- Reliance also met with selling pressure.
- I has some long positions in Sun TV, exited yesterday, for the time being I want to keep away from shares that have less than 35% public share holding.
- Many large cap blue chip companies in Auto sector lost 50% from the peak like Eicher Motors, Maruti, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, etc.
- So no plan to touch Auto stocks also.
- PSU Banks will be in focus ahead of Bank of Baroda results today evening.
- Tata Motors, Bajaj Finance, Bajaj Finserv, Bank Baroda, Ambuja Cements, Biocon are the companies that are set to declare results today.
- There was huge unwinding of 11300PE as Nifty broke 11300 and fell significantly.
- Nifty 11300CE added huge open interest yesterdy.
- During high volatile time, these things may not work.
- Now SGX Nifty is trading close to 11300, if there is any spike, then these positions will come into trouble.
- FIIs have sold for Rs 1400 crores and DIIs have bought for Rs 2140 crores.
- DIIs are determined to make sure markets do not collapse, but Nifty has already fallen more than 700 points from budget day high.
- Bank Nifty has huge OI from 29200 to 29500CE.
- Yesterday OI added in 29000 to 29300CE.
- But things are not going to be easy, markets will be making violent moves on both sides.
- If Bank Nifty opens higher, one can try Call calendar. If Bank Nifty opens around 29000, then sell 29000CE in this week and buy 29000CE in next week.
- Since VIX is low, next week options should be trading relatively lower price.
- This strategy will give maximum profit, if markets move up and down violently, but close around 29000.
- Selling naked, then we have to sell 29300CE, Bank Nifty is not likely to reach this level before 3 pm.
- As a policy, do not keep positions after 3 pm, in case if you wish to keep, put Stop Loss.
- Keeping positions after 3 pm without stop loss is very dangerous.
- Since Nifty 11300CE has huge OI, in case if markets move higher, these sellers will be in trouble and will propel the markets even higher.
- So today's market movement will be vey much unpredicatbale and violent.
- This is a showdown between FIIs and DIIs, we should not get killed in cross fire.
- I will like to do very carefully today, do not mind even if I make little profit.
- Bought Reliance at 160 and sold 1260CE at Rs 10 yesterday, wll make some profit as long as Reliance is not falling more than Rs 10.
- Fingers crossed regarding the range.
- My gt feel is that yesterday's low will be defended.
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