July 30, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed mixed.
- Asian markets are positive.
- SGX Nifty is trading alightly higher.
- In the last few weeks whenever markets opened higher, selling came immediately.
- Yesterday was no different.
- Bank Nifty hit high within few minutes and and selling came immediately and Bank Nifty fell almost 500 points.
- That is despite very good show by ICICI Bank.
- Nifty fell nearly 160 points from intraday high to intraday low.
- From budget day high of 12000 to yesterday's low of 11150, Nifty future has fallen 850 points in last few weeks.
- But there are no signs of stability.
- Yesterday major selling came from Auto stocks due to registration fee hike.
- Reliance is just refusing to turnaround.
- HDFC Twins, ITC and other heavy weights brought down the market.
- If not for ICICI Bank, even Bank Nifty would have collapsed.
- Nifty's low yesterday was just 10 to 20 points away from 200DMA.
- More than 400 stocks hit 52 week low.
- Usually markets bottom out when this happens.
- Let us see what happens this time.
- Yesterday's move in ICICI Bank was just short covering.
- We need to see how this stock moves today. I am long in my portfolio and sold 440CE.
- I have sold lot of short straddles at 11300 in September series for about Rs 480 per straddle.
- Yesterday I sold lot of 11350CE and 11400CE in weekly options.
- In Bank Nifty I sold 29800CE and 30000CE.
- Today I am planning to sell some 11000 straddle and 11500 straddle in December series.
- Unless Govt makes some concessions, there is no hope of significant rise in markets.
- December straddle trading around Rs 850, giving a range of 10150 and 11850.
- FIIs have sold 14000 crores worth of shares since budget.
- Now Bank Nifty looking better than Nifty while it was opposite just few days before.
- After ICICI Bank, Axis Bank will be in focus ahead of its results today.
- Yesterday in one account I simply shorted ICICI Bank, Axis Bank, SBI, YES Bank, IndusInd Bank, Kotak Bank, India Bulls Housing and sold ATM Put option.
- Also shorted Nifty September future and sold 11300PE.
- Without short positions, it will be difficult to manage this kind of markets.
- August is a 5 week series, we have a lot more corporate results, Fed policy, RBI policy and many more data. Markets are likely to go all over places.
- That is why now a days I find traders trading more in weekly options than monthly options.
- One month becomes too difficult to predict the market movements.
- Today's candle should be inside candle of yesterday's candle.
- Means today market is likely to trade within yesterday's range of 11250-11325.
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