September 30, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- S markets fell on Friday as there was a news that US is planning to delist all China ADRs.
- China ADRs fell, Alibaba fell more than 5%.
- But later US said there is no such plan 'at this point of time'
- Cina also over the weekend vowed to open up their financial sector.
- China has opened almost flat.
- Hence DOW futures are also higher.
- SGX Nifty fell about 60 points on Friday night but now it is down just by 5, 10 points.
- October series started with a negative note.
- Usually this month, markets will go all over the places.
- October is a 5 week series, so theta decay will be slow.
- October has RBI policy, but the way Govt wants to prop up the Economy, rate cut is almost certain.
- Only question is whether it will be 25 basis point or more.
- Then corporate results will start from second week of October.
- Most of the major companies will declare the results by the end of October.
- My gut feel is that Nifty will trade between 11200 and 11800 for this month.
- 11200 being 50% retracement, support will come there.
- On the higher side, some profit booking will come.
- Those who are interested in short strangle, 11000PE and 12000CE will be good.
- On Friday morning I sold 12000CE at Rs 70.
- On any fall below 11500, I plan to sell 11000PE and on any rise above 11600, I plan to sell 12000CE.
- We can expect a major rally only if DTC is announced.
- Until then it will be a consolidation market.
- From today all stocks in F&O come under physical delivery.
- I exited all my stock futures positions.
- I lost huge some of money by playing stock futures. About Rs 3 crores.
- learned a hard lesson, no more stock futures. Only index.
- I made more than 10 crores in index futures and options but lost a major part of it by trading is stock futures and investments.
- I am not a good investor. I invested in MF, even after two years, it has given 0 return, I paid more than Rs 1 crore as interest for the borrowed money invested in MF.
- So decided to play only in index where my core strength is there.
- Lakshmi Vilas Bank coming under PCA will affect India Bulls Housing again today.
- Bank Nifty option premiums are so high.
- Usuallt ATM straddle will trade at Rs 800 to 900.
- On Friday it straded close to Rs 1700.
- This is a good opportunity to sell straddles.
- Even weekly straddle traded higher than usual monthly straddle.
- That too when expiry is before RBI policy and one day holiday in between.
- FIIs have sold in Cash market.
- There was horting in futures also.
- Crude is consolidating around $62.
- Nifty future may trade between 11540 and 11660.
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