September 4, 2019
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed lower.
- But China made some positive comments about HK protesters.
- China also fixed Yuan midpoint as 7.08.
- So most Asian markets are trading with positive bias.
- But we have our own problems.
- Rupee has depreciated almost by Rs 1.
- That shows very clearly that FIIs are selling and moving the funds out.
- That is really a very bad news.
- Yesterday was a Terrible Tuesday.
- IIP data, GDP data, GST collection, Auto sales data, US-China Trade tariff hike, everything was negative.
- I said when everything looks negative, that is when positional short sellers will like to square off their positions and that may lead to some short covering rally.
- But that has not happened.
- Since there was no short covering until 2.45 pm, further selling came.
- Nifty fell more than 100 points in last 45 minutes.
- Now SGX Nifty is trading about 50 points higher due to positive Asian cues.
- Moreover, worst seems to be over when it comes to Economic data.
- Today Services PMI data is due at 10.30 am.
- Then the next big data is US jobs data this Friday.
- HK protests, US-China Trade War, India's mismanagement of Economy, nothing seems to change but after some time people will get used to them.
- Since Nifty future was trading around 10920 for most part of the day and fell from there in the last 45 minutes, that will become resistance now.
- Yesterday it was Reliance that fell about Rs 50.
- Nifty fell mainly due to index heavy weights like Reliance, HDFC, HDFC Bank, etc.
- Bank Nifty shot up 1200 points from 26800 last week and now it is back to 26800.
- If yesterday's low is broken, then next target will be 10650.
- On any rise, it is better to sell Call options.
- It will be a good idea to sell Call options of 11200 and above.
- Can sell 11000CE for tomorrows expiry also.
- Nifty is not likely to expire above 11000 tomorrow.
- We have double whammy of Local cues and Global cues.
- One we have fallen so much in one day, two we are at support level, so markets may consolidate here for few days.
- Now Govt seems to be making right kind of noises, hope short sellers dare not add more shorts.
- FM's second meet where PSU Banks merged was not taken by markets positively.
- She may make some more announcement this week.
- The much promised measures for Housing has not come.
- This time if they stop at Housing level, then markets will be disappointed once again.
- Some concrete measures are required.
- FIIs have sold for Rs 2016 crores and DIIs have bought for Rs 1250 crores in Cash market.
- Now a days DIIs are not able to match FII selling.
- Expect more volatility in this month.
- Nifty future should be trading between 10800 and 10940.
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