Feb 3, 2020
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- Our markets fell on Saturday due to budget disappointment.
- The fall was more than expected.
- Bank Nifty fell more than 1000 points.
- Changes in personal taxation is not good for housing sector.
- So real estate stocks fell and real estate index fell more than 8%.
- Mid caps and small caps that were trying to stabilise after two years of bear run also came under severe selling pressure.
- Many stocks hit 52 week low or multi year low.
- ITC fell below 220.
- Now fine prints started coming from budget.
- Lot of intrepretations and mis intrepretations, clarifications.
- China opened around 8% down and stabilising.
- Domestic Institutions will be playing major role both in India and China.
- We also need to see how Rupee opens, if there is more depreciation, it will scare the FIIs.
- Those who are out, based on my advise, please continue to stay away for one or 2 more days.
- Watch for FII data today, DII data today.
- If FII data is bad, it is time to be cautious. If DII data is too good, then also it is time to be cautious.
- Too good figure rom DII means, LIC entered the markets (instructed by Govt).
- In that case markets may fall again.
- So volatility may continue for next few days.
- We need to see how this Corona virus and RBI policy goes.
- European and US futures are higher.
- So we may consolidate between 11600 and 12000 for the rest of the series.
- Going by WhatsApp forwards, it seems that Reliance will be under pressure and that will check up side.
- SGX Nifty is trading around 11680.
- Nifty 11700 was the level before Parliament elections in 2019.
- Post Corporate tax cut also that was the level.
- So markets may try to consolidate around 11700.
- Now the focus will turn to Corona Virus and RBI policy.
- If you feel that markets are not going to fall too much from here, you can buy Nifty 11700PE and sell 2X11400PE.
- Lower break even will be 11100.
- There is no risk on the upside.
- Be ready for high volatile markets as both FIIs and DIIs will be very active today.
- Play only hedged positions, if you want.
- If markets close firmly in Green, then you can buy 11700CE and sell 2X12000CE. In that case upper break even will be 12300 and there will be no down side risk.
- Nifty future should take support at 11620, resistance may come at 11780.
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