March 2, 2020
Time: 8.15 am
Time: 8.15 am
Pre Market Report:
- Worst month for Stock Markets, February is behing.
- We are beginning March with some optimism.
- Over the weekend, first death reported from US and Australia.
- China Manufacturing PMI came at 35, the lowest on record.
- So markets fell in the morning.
- Dow futures were down 500 points in the early morning.
- Then came the news: BOJ's Kuroda says will take steps to stabilize markets.
- All markets recovered after this news.
- Japan's Nikkei index shot up about 400 points.
- But any bounce will used by short sellers to sell.
- As the announcements by Fed and BoJ are general in nature, no specific announcements.
- Our GDP came at 4.7% which is not bad.
- Auto sales data for February are very bad, except for Maruti.
- Maruti sales fell by a couple of percentage while Tata Motors and M&M sales fell 35, 40%.
- Remember on Friday, only two stocks closed in Green, Maruti and IOC.
- So markets seems to know the figures even before announcements.
- Brent Crude has fallen below $49.
- Gold is also falling.
- SGX Nifty hit a low of 11017 and that should be the low for the short term.
- But the bad news from Corona Virus is not stopping.
- For most part of Friday's trading, Nifty future was trading around 11300.
- So as long as Nifty future not crossing 11300, we have to be careful.
- On any bounce towards 11300, good to sell Call options, far OTM.
- Since the volatility is very high, premiums also very good.
- Selling Call options nearer may be dangerous as Govts start talking of measures to stabilise the markets.
- The fear is so high, even 10150PE trading around Rs 15 in weekly options.
- That means, Nifty will have to fall more than 1000 points in next four days for thse buyers to make profit.
- Last time, this kind of fear was seen only in 2008.
- SBI is a stock to watch as SBI Card IPO opens today.
- If that receives good response, SBI will help Bank Nifty to stabilise.
- No point in predicting Nifty range in high volatile markets.
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