April 30, 2020
Time: 8.30 am
Pre Market Report:
Time: 8.30 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets rallied.
- Once again it is Gilead that lead the markets.
- Optimism over Corona drug lifted the sentiment.
- Asian markets are Green.
- SGX Nifty trading above 9700.
- This huge gap up will be a big blow to CE writers.
- Last week I said, Nifty will trade between 9000 and 9500.
- But Nifty went to 8800.
- This week I said Nifty will trade between 9000 and 9500.
- Today Nifty will open above 9700, if SGX Nifty is any indication.
- But earlier I cautioned, Nifty is finding huge resistance between 9300 and 9400.
- That is where 38.2% retracement of Fibonacci lies.
- Once 9400 is crossed decisively, next resistance is at 9900-10000.
- Nifty, yesterday low 9390, now SGX Nifty above 9700.
- Unless you have good conviction and quick in reacting, you can not make money in market.
- There is no point in looking at OI, sometimes in trending markets, these things do not work.
- But for the last few days IO on Put side was huge compared to OI on the Call side.
- In the initial period of this series everyone was bearish.
- Lock down is being extended, more people have virus in India, Govt not doing enough testing, how can market go higher?
- The consensus was so good that June Nifty 7000PE was trading around Rs 500.
- But this kind of breakouts are very difficult to trade.
- In the last few minutes of yesterday's trade, Bank Nifty fell about 400 points.
- This is the reason why we advise people not to trade in high volatile markets.
- Or to trade with very low volume.
- Expect Nifty to open around 9700 and consolidate the gains.
- I am not expecting any big volatility today.
- March expiry was at low and April expiry is at high.
- That is how stock market changes its mood.
- That is why I always say, "I am not a Bull, I am not a Bear, I am a Chameleon"
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