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- US Futures were down on Friday afternoon, so we sold off.
- But on Friday night, though US markets opened lower, short covering in the last one hour took the markets higher to close in Green.
- But Asian markets are mixed.
- SGX Nifty is down by about 50 points.
- First let us look at positive things.
- Over the weekend, monthly Auto sales data came, which seems to be very good.
- Monthly sales is almost equal to pre covid era.
- So Auto stocks may be in focus.
- M&M has been trading in a range for past many years due to tractor sales, which has been poor.
- Now Tractor sales seems to be picking up, so M&M is a major beneficiary if Auto sales as well as Tractor sales pick up.
- Manufacturing PMI data from China came better than expected.
- Japan GDP contracted lower than expected.
- Despite we are very close to 11000, Nifty 11000PE has the highest Open Interest.
- Pharma stocks are looking too bullish.
- Coming to negatives.
- FIIs have turned net sellers for Rs 950 crores in Cash market after so many days of being buyers.
- That is a major negative.
- We need to see whether this is just one off selling or beginning of series of selling.
- Banking stocks look too bearish.
- Reliance also correcting.
- So uncertainty may continue until RBI policy on Thursday.
- Banks may fall further if there is any more moratorium.
- So August series has not begun with optimism.
- Today we will get India Manufacturing PMI.
- But it is expected to be better than last month.
- Even Core sector growth was minus 15% Vs minus 22% previous month.
- Nifty should find some support around 11000.
- With 4 out of Top 5 Index Heavy Weights looking weak, we need to see where market stabilises.
- Nifty future may trade between 10980 and 11180.
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