Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed higher.
- Asian markets are mixed.
- SGX Nifty is flat.
- Yesterday, our markets were highly volatile.
- Every Wednesday is a high volatile day.
- Nifty fell more than 130 points and Bank Nifty more than 500 points from intraday high to low.
- Reliance and HDFC Bank were very volatile.
- Reliance came under huge selling pressure after hitting fresh all time high.
- Reliance and HDFC Bank alone is more than 25% of the Nifty index.
- SBI promised short sellers not to cross Rs 200.
- So heavy selling comes whenever SBI inches towards Rs 200.
- Yesterday also, same has happened.
- Canara Bank results are good.
- Generally PSU Banks declaring good results.
- Lupin, IDEA, Hind Petro, Pidilite, Adani Ent are some of the key companies set to declare results today.
- HDFC will be in focus ahead of its fund raising program.
- But most important is RBI policy at 11.45 am.
- Two things, one will RBI cut rates.
- Chances are very little as interest rates are very low and inflation is high.
- At the same time, inflation is high, just due to Corona related supply issues.
- That can be ignored for the time being.
- If not Repo cut, RBI may tinker with SLR, CRR, Reverse Repo, etc for sentimental reasons.
- Second, will Moratorium extended up to December?
- Most bankers requested not to extend Moratorium.
- Will RBI allow one time Restructuring or Resheduling?
- Or will RBI go for Operation Twist?
- So Bank Nifty is bound to be highly volatile today.
- Both FIIs and DIIs were net sellers yesterday, FIIs for Rs 60 crores and DIIs for Rs 426 crores.
- My Gut feeling is that Bank Nifty will move higher after RBI policy.
- Nifty may trade in a wide range of 11020 and 11280 due to RBI policy.
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