August 12, 2020
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
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- US markets closed negative on profit booking.
- Asian markets are generally down.
- Japan is up as it was closed yesterday.
- SGX Nifty is down more 100 points.
- SGX Nifty seems to be over reacting.
- Also SGX Nifty is worried about usual Wednesday volatility.
- Since May, every Wednesday is a high volatile day.
- June IIP data came at minus 16.6% and that is better than minus 33.9% in previous month.
- Economy seems to be opening up slowly.
- Nifty has been moving up and down with 11200 as Mean.
- Any fall below 11200 is a buying opportunity.
- Even yesterday, buying came at lower levels in Reliance.
- Reliance has been trading between 2100 and 2200, yesterday it reversed from 2100 levels.
- Both ICICI Bank and HDFC ADRs are up.
- Nifty future shot up from 10880 to 11380 in 6 trading sessions.
- So some profit booking is expected.
- Bank Nifty future shot up more than 1200 points in last 6 trading sessions.
- Today's fall may be just due to profit booking without any corresponding negative news flow.
- FIIs are net buyers for Rs 1014 crores and DIIs are net sellers for Rs 1416 crores.
- We are likely to consolidate around 11200 plus or minus 100, 150 points until Friday.
- Remember we started this month around 11200.
- For nearly two weeks, we have been consolidating.
- This consolidation at higher levels is expected as Nifty shot up 1700 points in last two months.
- Today's fall may be a knee jerk reaction to Gold price fall and Dollar index.
- I am looking to sell Put option if Nifty continue to trade below 11250.
- Be ready for roller coaster ride.
- Nifty future may trade between 11200 and 11350.
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