November 19, 2020
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed lower and ended at the lowest level.
- Schools are closed in US and that triggered a sell off.
- But Pfizer announced that their Vaccine is 95% effective, earlier they said it is 90%.
- Asian markets are down.
- SGX Nifty is down by 60, 70 points.
- In October, markets rallied for first two weeks and consolidated in the last three weeks.
- But in November, the rally extended to three weeks.
- Today, we are coming to the end of third week.
- Markets need consolidation.
- Everyday people buying Call and selling Puts making money.
- Everyday people buying Puts and selling Calls are losing money.
- US death crossed 2,50,000 due to Corona.
- That is more than the worst estimate few months before.
- But here in India, the fall may not be big.
- Now the rally is spreading to under performing sectors.
- SBI was up by 10% in 2 days.
- Auto sector did very well yesterday.
- M&M up 10%, Tata Motors up 10%, both long time under performers.
- Auto, PSU Banks doing well shows that other performing sectors may have reached a short term peak and sectoral rotation may happen.
- That is the typical behavior of bull market.
- FIIs have pumped in another Rs 3K crores.
- Yesterday night, SGX Nifty crossed 13K.
- At least until the end of this November expiry, Nifty 13K should be the resistance.
- Reliance is still under performing.
- Trading below 2000 and closing below 2000.
- Reliance need to move at least 10% for Nifty to cross 13K.
- Hero Moto announcement of good sales data will help other auto stocks today.
- Midcaps and small caps are doing well and started participating in the rally.
- So this rally may be a sustainable rally with possible correction up to 10%.
- Nifty future may trade between 12820 and 13000.
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