November 23, 2020
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- Asian markets are higher.
- US and European Futures are higher.
- SGX Nifty is up by about 70 points.
- Over the weekend, RBI news about new banking license and Mukesh Ambani speaking at Deen Dayal University Convocation are two key positives.
- Reliance has already corrected Rs 500 from recent high and hence i can reverse from 1900.
- Top NBFCs will be in focus due to Banking License guidelines.
- Markets are consolidating with huge volatility as expected.
- Nifty 13K has the highest OI among Calls.
- Nifty 12800PE added huge OI on Friday.
- So smart people expect Nifty to trade between 12800 and 13000.
- As this is the last week of expiry, time decay will be fast.
- Since all time high of 12400 crossed, many people are booking profits.
- That is why DIIs have been selling aggressively.
- At some point, this selling will subside and at the same time FIIs also can not keep buying for thousands of crores everyday.
- So logically markets may go for consolidation phase.
- Nifty is up more than 20% and Bank Nifty up more than 40% in last two months.
- But any good news about Corona Vaccine, US Stimulus, there can be one more wave of buying.
- FIIs have pumped in Rs 3860 crores on Friday in Cash market.
- DIIs have sold for Rs 2867 crores, much less than what FIIs have bought.
- FIIs have 70% long and 30% short in Futures also.
- Kotak Bank and IndusInd Bank will be in focus as Promoter shareholding limit has been increased from 15% to 26%.
- As we are approaching 13K, we can expect some aggressive selling by DIIs.
- However, if Nifty crosses 13020, then we can expect another 200 to 300 points rally in Nifty in no time.
- If Reliance moves 10%, that alone will contribute 200 points to Nifty rally.
- Nifty should take a good support at 12700 and hence we can sell 12700PE on any dip for this expiry.
- Nifty future may trade between 12820 and 13020 today.
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