December 1, 2020
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed lower.
- But recovered some losses intraday.
- Though markets fell, S&P 500 VIX did not go up.
- So it is just a profit booking after a stellar rally.
- This is not a sign of trend reversal.
- Asian markets are generally higher.
- Manufacturing PMI data from China is positive.
- Today and tomorrow, we will get Manufacturing PMI data from other countries.
- SGX Nifty fell more than 250 points from Friday night high to Monday low.
- But recovered and now trading almost flat.
- FIIs bought for more than Rs 7000 crores on Friday.
- Now MSCI Rebalancing is over.
- Markets may consolidate now.
- Markets may consolidate with negative bias.
- As long as Nifty is not crossing 13200, I will assume that market will consolidate.
- Going forward, FIIs may not buy aggressively as they have done in October and November.
- DIIs also may not sell as aggressively as they have done in last two months.
- That may bring intraday volatility lower.
- GDP data was better than expected and it is a non event for markets.
- With Rupee trading at less than 74 and Dollar Index less than 92, more companies announcing Corona Vaccine, Expected Stimulus from US, there is no reason for major correction now.
- Reliance is struggling to cross 2000.
- FIIs have pumped in Rs 65K crore in November.
- That is highest monthly inflow by FIIs.
- Auto stocks will be in Focus as companies will declare monthly sales data.
- In last month rally, Auto stocks did not move much.
- FIIs seems to be heavily long in F&O.
- That is the only concern. In case, if there is any bad news, markets may fall significantly due to unwinding of these longs.
- Manufacturing PMI data may be a good one today as Manufacturing was positive in GDP data.
- Due to SEBI rules on Peak Margin, the volume may be lower today and that can add volatility.
- Nifty future may trade between 12880 and 13080.
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