March 04, 2021
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets fell on the back of rising bond yield.
- Ten year bond yield shot up from 1.14% to 1.49%.
- Now Nasdaq is below 13K.
- When our markets closed, Dow Future was up more than 200 points.
- Now it is down more than 100 points.
- So SGX Nifty is showing a gap down of about 200 points.
- This is a huge gap down considering weekly expiry.
- Yesterday morning Nifty 15000CE had the highest open interest among Call options.
- By making a huge move on upside, markets gave huge losses to those CE sellers.
- Now it is a big gap down, will give huge loss to PE writers.
- But SGX Nifty may not be a correct indication.
- Surprisingly both FIIs and DIIs were net buyers in CAsh market.
- FIIs have bought for another Rs 2000 crore plus.
- Markets were stabilisng between 15100 and 15200 but late surge in Reliance took Nifty above 15200.
- Last week expiry Nifty future was at 15170, it went below 14500 and then shot up to 15300.
- That is a huge swing of 1500 points in just 4 days.
- Today we need to watch Reliance and HDFC Twins.
- HDFC Bank ADR was down yesterday night in US.
- Bank Nifty has been making more than 1000 points move now a days.
- Yesterday both Nifty Future and Bank Nifty Future closed at significant premium to spot prices.
- That may come down now due to huge gap down.
- India VIX fell for 3 days in a row, today we can expect that to shoot up.
- Far OTM options are trading at huge premiums due to new SEBI guidline of less intraday limits.
- Put option prices (Far OTM) increases when market goes up.
- That is throwing a good opportunity for Institutions with lots of money.
- Nifty future may trade between 15000 and 15300.
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