March 05, 2021
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets fell after Fed Chairman speech.
- US 10 Year Bond yield shot up to 1.55%
- Nasdaq is down by more than 10% from recent high.
- That means, now Nasdaq is in correction territory.
- A fall of more than 10% but less than 20% is considered as Correction.
- A fall of more than 20% is considered as Bear market.
- Gold fell below US$1700.
- SGX Nifty opened around 14800.
- Now it is trading above 14900.
- Still it is a gap down of about 200 points.
- Yesterday also Nifty opened gap down 200 points and then fell another 100 points to break SGX Nifty low, before recovering.
- We have to see whether same happens today.
- Yesterday, though Nifty fell, Midcap and Smallcap stocks did very well.
- As usual Reliance and HDFC Twins move is enough to make Nifty move 100-200 points on either side.
- Yesterday FIIs have bought Rs 13000 crore worth of Options.
- Of this, about one third is Call options and remaining Put options.
- This is one of the highest Option buy figures by FIIs.
- But going by OI, more Puts are written than Calls.
- There is a significant addition of OI at both Nifty 15000 PE and CE.
- This means, people are taking short straddle at 15000.
- In addition, there is a significant OI at 14500PE, 14000PE, 13500PE among Puts and 15500CE, 16000CE among Calls.
- So first support is at 14500, second support is at 14000. First resistance is at 15500 and second resistance is at 16000.
- But between 14500 and 15500, markets can be highly volatile.
- We have only 13 more trading sessions, ATM straddles are traing at Rs 700 points premium.
- That is a huge premium, people who short these will make money, if VIX goes down in the next few days.
- Nifty future may trade between 14800 and 15100.
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