March 08, 2021
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed higher on back of strong jobs data.
- Asian markets are higher.
- Over the weekend, Export-Import data from China came very good.
- SGX Nifty indicating more than 120 points gap up.
- Thursday, it was 200 points gap down, Friday also 200 points gap down, now gap up.
- The volatility continues and Option prremiums are so high.
- On Friday Nifty 14000PE (Weekly Expiry), which is considered as very good support, was trading around Rs 20.
- Considering there are only 3 trading sessions for this week expiry, this premium is very high.
- February expiry Nifty closed at 15100.
- After 7 sessions, today Nifty is likely to be around the same level.
- But in between, there was huge volatility.
- Nifty moved between 14450 to 15300.
- Last time, Nifty 15000 had highest open interest and Nifty shot up to 15300.
- This week also, it ooks the same.
- It will be interestuing to see what happens in next few days for these sellers.
- But this time writers will have enough time to adjust, last time this has happened on Wednesday, they had very little time to react.
- Moreover, this time, there was huge selling by both FIIs and DIIs.
- So people may expect some selling of consolidation after this gap up.
- Remember FIIs have sold for more than Rs 2000 crores on Friday while DIIs have sold for more than Rs 1000 crore.
- Banking stocks will be in focus.
- Usually it will be Reliance and HDFC Twins that make Nifty move big on either side.
- SBI broke recent low of 385 and tested 379 but recovered.
- So that will be an interesting stock to watch.
- After a good rally from October to February, March looks like a consolidation month.
- But Option premiums do not indicate that.
- Even on Friday, Nifty 15000 straddle was trading at premium of Rs 730.
- Means, people are expecting a move of more than 700 points in next three weeks.
- India VIX is likely to go down as markets move higher.
- If Nifty sustains above 15000, we can expect Nifty to revisit 15200-15300 in the next few days.
- Nifty future may trade between 14980 and 15180.
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