March 19, 2021
Time: 8 am
Pre Market Report:
- The Euphoria about Fed policy died just within a day.
- US markets fell.
- Asian markets are mostly down.
- SGX Nifty is down by about 70 points.
- Yesterday was a difficult expiry.
- Bank Nifty has made more than 1000 points move many times in March series.
- On Feb 26, first trading session of March series, Nifty future took support around 14500.
- Yesterday also Nifty future took support around same level.
- Today we can expect that level to be broken.
- However SGX Nifty low was 14450 on Feb 26.
- Markets are falling like this expecting FIIs to sell.
- But so far, FIIs did not sell much.
- If they start selling, then markets will see first significant correction of more than 10% after Corona fall.
- But what is surprising, even after 900 points fall in Nifty, within few days, India VIX did not shoot up.
- Reliance has been particularly weak.
- Reliance has corrected about 10% in last two weeks.
- PSU BAnks are doing badly.
- Markets are falling drastically without any Institutional seeling in Cash market.
- Our markets fell yesterday so much against the Global trend.
- Today Global cues are bad.
- Crude fell about 7%.
- So the volatility is extending to commodities also.
- Crypto is the only star performer, surprisingly.
- SGX Nifty broke 14500 while writing this blog.
- DIIs still keep selling, at some point they will turn net buyers.
- Then only markets will bottom out.
- Until then this market is clearly "Sell on Rise" market.
- Everything looks bad, sometimes, markets bottom out when everything looks bad.
- When markets are down, people look for negative news, that is why now people talking about Corona virus surge.
- Nifty future may trade between 14420 and 14620.
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