March 25, 2021
Time: 7.45 am
Pre Market Report:
- US markets closed in red.
- Dow was 300 points higher in the morning session but at closing all gains wiped out.
- Nasdaq is down by more than 2%.
- US markets are clearly not comfortable with high valuation of technology stocks.
- Asian markets are mixed.
- Coming back to our markets, things are not looking good.
- First time, FIIs have sold for nearly Rs 2000 crores in Cash market.
- Bank Nifty fell more than 1000 points.
- Right now SGX Nifty is trading below 14500.
- Usually, in this kind of markets, expiry will happen somewhere close to the monthly low.
- So far, on daily chart, closing low was 14530. In fact, yesterday also, closing low was 14530. (Due to weighted average, it is showing 14549).
- If markets are not turning around today, though the possibility is very low, markets may expire at fresh closing low.
- Next important level to watch, intraday low of 14350.
- For one or the other reasons, if markets open positive and sustains the positivity, then 14530 will become double bottom.
- So today, first half an hour of trade is very important.
- No boubt, things look very bearish, sometimes short sellers will like to book profits when everything looks bearish.
- For that to happen, DIIs must place good buy order at the opwening.
- With many blue chip stocks correcting between 10% and 20%, this may be a good time for long term investors.
- If Nifty breaks 14500, I am planning to sell April Call options from 15200 to 15500.
- Nifty 14700CE added huge OI for today expiry.
- So as long as Nifty is trading below 14700, it will be bearish.
- While writing the blog, SGX Nifty up from 14499 to 14577.
- Asia is offering good support.
- Yesterday Markets made a big move.
- Usually when markets make a huge move on day before expiry, expiry day Nifty trades plus or minus 100 points only.
- Going by that logic, Nifty should trade between 14450 and 14650.
- Selling 14800CE with appropriate SL is a good idea.
- HDFC Bank was relatively out performer yesterday.
- So we need to watch Reliance, HDFC Twins for market direction.
- Nifty future may trade between 14450 and 14680
Comments
Post a Comment